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Millions of US voters will head to the voting booth tomorrow to cast ballots in what appears to be a deadlocked presidential race. Various poll aggregators—see RealClearPolitics and 538—have former President Donald Trump leading by 0.1% or Vice President Kamala Harris leading by 0.9%, respectively, in national polls. Both figures are within the margin of error.
These polls capture national sentiment, not probabilities of Electoral College victory (see how the institution works, w/video). Analyst Nate Silver gives Harris about a 75% chance of winning the national vote, but Trump a slight edge in winning (partial paywall) the Electoral College.
The outcome is expected to be determined by the results in a set of swing states—most notably Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. See how voting patterns in these states have changed in recent elections.
More than 75 million early votes have been cast thus far—roughly 41 million in person and almost 35 million mail-in ballots. Data (where available) suggest even participation by party, though women outpace men by about nine points nationally. Details vary widely by state; see a breakdown here.
Also at stake are 34 Senate seats and a number of competitive House districts, with control of each chamber up for grabs. See the most consequential races here. |
College Basketball Tips Off |
The 2024-25 college basketball season gets underway today, with all but six AP-ranked teams playing on the men's side. Opening day games include No. 1 Kansas against Howard (8 pm ET, ESPN) and No. 8 Baylor facing No. 6 Gonzaga (10:30 pm ET, ESPN). See the full schedule here.
Top storylines of this year's men's season include No. 3 UConn's quest for a third consecutive national title and the play of No. 7 Duke freshman Cooper Flagg, who is widely projected to be next year's No. 1 NBA Draft pick. See other storylines here and full team rankings here.
On the women's side, defending champion No. 1 South Carolina tips off against Michigan in Las Vegas (6:30 pm ET, TNT), and No. 20 Ole Miss takes on No. 3 USC from Paris, France (11 am, ESPN). With last year's superstars Caitlin Clark and Angel Reese off to the WNBA, new top players include No. 2 UConn's Paige Bueckers and No. 3 USC sophomore JuJu Watkins. See a season preview—including rankings and the top 25 best players—here. |
Former Louisville, Kentucky, police officer Brett Hankison was convicted by a federal jury late Friday for his role in the raid that killed 26-year-old Breonna Taylor in March 2020. The development marks the first conviction of an officer involved in the raid.
The jury found 48-year-old Hankison guilty of using excessive force while acquitting him of violating the civil rights of Taylor's neighbors. Hankison fired 10 shots into Taylor's apartment, some of which entered a neighboring unit but didn't hit anyone. Hankison was retried after the first jury was deadlocked. He will be sentenced March 12 and faces a maximum sentence of life in prison.
Taylor was killed during a midnight no-knock raid on her apartment. While her name and residence were on the warrant (case fact-check), she was considered a soft target, with police having located the prime suspect. Taylor was shot six times when her boyfriend exchanged gunfire with officers, believing them to be intruders. Two other officers involved in the raid were not charged; prosecutors believed they were justified in returning fire. |
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Untangle The Election with Tangle |
Tomorrow is the big day; the 2024 presidential election has arrived and brought with it plenty of drama – which makes your choice in news sources more important than ever. But how can you untangle all the partisan swirl of politics? With one of our favorites: Tangle.
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Sports, Entertainment, & Culture |
> Abdi Nageeye becomes first runner from the Netherlands to win men's New York City Marathon; Kenya's Sheila Chepkirui wins women's title (More) |
> UK prosecutors investigating comedian Russell Brand on possible sexual assault charges (More) | "Venom: The Last Dance" hauls in $317M at global box office (More) |
> Alan Rachins, Emmy-nominated actor known for starring role on "LA Law," dies at age 82 (More) | "Dawson's Creek" star James Van Der Beek reveals colorectal cancer diagnosis (More) |
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> Researchers develop technique similar to large language models—the approach used to train chatbots like ChatGPT and Anthropic's Claude—to teach robots new skills (More) |
> Utah's Pando tree is between 16,000 and 80,000 years old, making it one of the oldest organisms on Earth, genetic analysis shows (More) | The single plant consists of nearly 50,000 tree-like stems spread across 106 acres (More) |
> Chemists make molecules previously thought to be too unstable to exist; chemicals feature a double carbon bond in a location that breaks a century-old rule, may lead to development of new drug compounds (More) |
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> US stock markets close higher Friday (S&P 500 +0.4%, Dow +0.7%, Nasdaq +0.8%) (More) | Nvidia to replace rival chipmaker Intel in Dow Jones Industrial Average Nov. 8; paint maker Sherwin-Williams to replace chemicals company Dow Inc. (More) |
> Striking Boeing workers to vote on latest contract today to potentially end seven-week strike; latest offer from Boeing includes increasing wages 38% over four years (More) | TGI Fridays files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy; the fast-casual restaurant chain's locations will remain open amid restructuring (More) | 1440 Business & Finance: This week we'll take a deep dive into how bankruptcy works (Sign up here) |
> IRS raises limits for 401(k) and other retirement plans, increases catch-up contributions for 60- to 63-year-olds in 2025 (More) | Learn about 401(k) plans (More, w/video) |
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> Israeli forces capture senior Hezbollah naval leader (More) | Israel says it carried out ground raid into Syria in recent months, seized a Syrian citizen who they believe is tied to Iranian network targeting Israel (More) | See Middle East updates (More) |
> UK Conservative Party elects Kemi Badenoch as its leader; Badenoch becomes the first Black woman to head Britain's oldest party (More) |
> At least 200 Bolivian soldiers reportedly taken hostage by armed supporters of Bolivia's former President Evo Morales amid ongoing abuse investigations into Morales (More) |
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Unbiased Election News (And Beyond) |
If you want someone to give it to you straight about the election, listen up: The independent thinkers over at Tangle have you covered for tomorrow’s big election.
Tangle’s unbiased and non-partisan reporting offers up the facts, and then a collection of opinions from the left, right, and center—which means you can read, consider, and decide for yourself. They’ll be doing live election updates and in-depth analysis all day (and night). Subscribe for free and follow along right here. |
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