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Climatology: What we learned this week

Plus, mapping the theories of everything

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Good morning. It's Tuesday, Aug. 5, and today we're covering climatology. Because of the scale of this branch of science, this will be the first of several newsletters about climate. We start with an overview of the field's origins and explore how scientists collect and use climate data to understand Earth's past and predict its future.

 

First time reading? Sign up here to join us every week, or share the email with friends. Feel free to send any feedback, questions, or suggestions to [email protected].

 

Thank you for taking the time!

—Marco Machado, 1440 Science and Technology Editor

Climatology

 

Background

Climatology is the science of climate, or the study of long-term atmospheric conditions across Earth.

 

Unlike meteorology, which uses data to predict weather over several days, climate science focuses on identifying patterns across 55 essential climate variables over periods of 30 or more years.

 

These patterns help climatologists better understand the interactions between Earth’s systems and refine computational models to predict future phenomena.

 

History

The word “climate” comes from the Greek term "klima," which refers to the slope or curvature of the Earth. Philosophers in ancient Greece knew the Earth was round and defined regional bands—later called "climata"—based on their latitude.

 

These philosophers developed the earliest form of climatology—climatic determinism—and argued that where a person lived dictated whether they sought intelligence or subjugation based on how much solar energy they received.

 

In the 1600s, the field began incorporating numeric data with the inventions of the thermometer and the barometer, which measured air pressure (watch explainer). Other devices were also used, such as anemometers to measure wind speed and hygrometers to measure humidity.

 

While this data was being collected across continents and elevations, determining the best trade routes for navigators during the early modern era drove the mapping of trade winds, monsoons, and the recurrence of other atmospheric phenomena.

 

By the 20th century, radar and satellite technologies transformed regional climatology into a global discipline where air, land, sea, and solar data from observation networks were collected in real time (learn more).

 

Paleoclimatology

Paleoclimatologists use climate proxies—materials that preserve past climate conditions—to obtain climate data from periods before modern instrumentation.

 

Comparing the results from analyzing these materials with collected data from recent centuries helps calibrate proxies toward accurately determining variables in the distant past.

 

Tree rings develop in yearly layers as trees grow and reveal precipitation and temperature conditions based on ring thickness.

 

Ice cores are long columns drilled from glacial ice sheets formed during the accumulation and compaction of thousands of years of winter snowfall. The compaction traps air bubbles that reveal past atmospheric composition, temperature, precipitation, and volcanic activity.

 

Sediment cores similarly trap information in layers of mud, sand, pollen, and dead animals and plants. Scientists can reconstruct the climate from when the layer formed by finding overlaps in the environmental conditions each organism needed when it was alive.

 

Speleothems—stalagmites, stalactites, and other rock formations—are formed from mineral deposits left behind by water as it drips into caves, indicating times of drought or heavy rain.

 

Elemental analysis in these and other proxies, including determining the ratios of different oxygen isotopes, can also provide data on various climate variables (watch explainer).

 

Modeling

Climate models apply the laws of physics to predict Earth’s climate at different points in time.

 

The simplest models only use energy balance—radiation received from the sun equals radiation emitted by Earth’s surface—while the most complex, known as general circulation models, incorporate interactions between all of Earth’s systems at high resolutions and can only be solved on supercomputers (watch explainer).

 

Models are tested via hindcasting—running them from one point in the past with known historical data to see if they reproduce known historical trends—before being run to project future climatic conditions.

 

These projections can incorporate human activities and forecast their impacts, including climate change, to help inform policy decisions such as mitigation efforts and disaster preparedness in vulnerable regions.

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Explore Climatology

 

The Köppen-Geiger system divides Earth’s climate into five categories

This classification system, developed by a German-Russian botanist and a German climatologist, results from differences in the intensity of solar radiation and rainfall in different parts of the world. Each category is further divided into multiple coded zones, which you can watch a breakdown of here.

El Niño and La Niña are Pacific Ocean climate patterns that affect weather

El Niño causes warm water to move east, disrupting ocean life and bringing wetter conditions to the southern US and drier ones to the north. On the other hand, La Niña strengthens the usual wind patterns, triggering cooler northern winters and more storms in the Pacific Northwest. Learn more about them here.

Explore hindcasting on climate models published since 1972

Hindcasting tests model forecasts against observational data to determine their accuracy. In this interactive, you can learn about the differences between eight climate models and evaluate them against available climate data to mimic the work of climatologists in assessing model accuracy. Try it out here.

Changes in Earth’s orbital cycles influence the timing of ice ages

These cycles include changes in orbit shape (eccentricity), tilt (obliquity), and wobble (precession), all of which alter how much solar energy different parts of Earth receive. They also cause other effects, such as summers in the Northern Hemisphere lasting about 4.5 days longer than winters. Learn more here.

Earth has shifted between warming and cooling phases for 500 million years

Earth is in an interglacial period of the Quaternary glaciation, resulting in receding glaciers and mild temperatures. However, today's warming trend is occurring much faster than previous warming periods in the climate record, driven by greenhouse gases. Watch a brief history of climate change on Earth here.

Simulate the effects of government policies on climate projections

The En-ROADS tool lets you role-play as a global decision-maker to explore the long-term effects of various policy ideas on climate, including modifying existing energy investments and promoting carbon capture technologies. Join the over 130 members of Congress who have already used the simulation here.

Science Spotlight

 

Like all great scientists, we love spending time researching the latest scientific breakthroughs, tech releases, engaging explainers, and the connections between science and society that are making headlines. Here's what we found this week.

 

> A pill for sleep apnea could be on the horizon

The New York Times | Caroline Hopkins Legaspi. Apnimed's positive Phase 3 clinical trials have shown that its drug "tricks" airway muscles into staying active as if the user is still awake. This article explores the benefits and side effects of the drug ahead of Apnimed's potential seeking of FDA approval in 2026. (Read)

 

> Bacterium that can breathe oxygen and sulfur—at the same time

Quanta Magazine | Eric Boyd. The dual metabolism, thought to be impossible within the same organism, was discovered in an organism at Yellowstone. Learn more about why these forms of respiration should be incompatible and how the discovery may provide clues to early life on Earth. (Read)

 

> Fiction and nonfiction summer reading for the science-minded

Scientific American | Rachel Feltman. SciAm's in-house book enthusiast provides their picks for what books to check out this summer, including explorations into how noise affects our environment and well-being, the human compromises that have made AI possible, and the multibillion-dollar global garbage trade. (Listen)

 

> Cancer DNA may be detectable three years before a formal diagnosis

Smithsonian Magazine | Sara Hashemi. Scientists at Johns Hopkins University used whole genome sequencing to look for tumor-related mutations and other related DNA signatures in blood samples. This article details the next steps for multi-cancer early detection tests, including follow-up studies. (Read)

 

> Spain offers $471M to save a telescope at risk of cancellation  

Space.com | Monisha Ravisetti. The Thirty Meter Telescope, which would explore the early universe, galaxy formation, and exoplanets, is currently slated for construction in Hawaii. This piece explains why the project is at risk and why its relocation may be welcome to Native Hawaiians. (Read)

 

> Climatology: How machine learning improves climate model accuracy. (Read)

In partnership with Miso Robotics

'One of the Largest Industries Ever'

 

That’s what NVIDIA’s CEO said about robotics. And it’s already started. By the start of Q4 2024, the sector nearly raised more capital than in 2023

 

So it’s big that both NVIDIA and Amazon helped Miso Robotics perfect its new fully commercial kitchen AI robot named Flippy Fry Station. Initial units sold out in one week. Now, with 200K+ hours logged in live kitchens for brands like White Castle, Miso’s scaling US-based manufacturing across a $4B/year revenue opportunity. And you can get up to 8% bonus stock as a Miso investor today.*

Please support our sponsors!

New in 1440 Science & Technology

 

With curiosity leading the way, our team went out looking for wonders, oddities, and insights in the natural and tech worlds. Here's what we discovered.

Marco Machado, 1440 Science and Technology Editor

 

> The asteroid belt's forgotten ocean world: Ceres.

 

> An interactive map of the theories of everything.

 

> A virtual tour of the Great Barrier Reef.


> How does the US store nuclear waste?


> Using the rarest natural element on Earth to fight cancer.


> What makes penguins expert navigators.

 

> Building the world's longest underwater tunnel.

 

> What happened to hydrogen fuel cars?


> Why some people can see music and taste colors.

 

> How smart and autonomous systems created Industry 4.0.

 

Thank you to John N. and Mark G. for inspiring us with their questions! If you have any involving science and tech and would like them answered, tell us here.

More From 1440

 

Missed a recent newsletter? Check out the five latest issues:

Quantum Mechanics, Rosalind Franklin, Microplastics, Memory, Fireworks

 

Other topics to explore:

Nuclear PowerHurricanesNASA, Large Language Models, Human Genome Project

 

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The longest continuous dataset of recorded air temperature is the Central England Temperature, which began collecting data in 1659.

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*Disclosure: This is a paid advertisement for Miso Robotics’ Regulation A offering. Please read the offering circular at invest.misorobotics.com.

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